Table 6 Results from the forecasting model
|  | 2020 | Impact (+/−) | 2030 | Impact (+/−) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
No Brexit | ||||
 Nothing changes | 1,316,383 |  | 1,431,375 |  |
Brexit | ||||
 Pessimistic scenario |  |  | 1,211,136 | −15,39% |
 Central scenario | 1,214,595 | −7,73% | 1,299,636 | −9,20% |
 Optimistic scenario |  |  | 1,418,246 | −0,92% |