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Table 2 Overview of studies about effect modal shift on external costs of freight transport

From: Changes in external costs and infrastructure costs due to modal shift in freight transport in North-western Europe

Modal shift study

Country, region, corridor

Types of external effects

Transport modes

Size modal shift

Decrease external costs

Rondaij et al. (2020)

Netherlands, corridors East and South

GHG-emissions (CO2)

From road to rail and inland waterways

What-if: 20% of tonkm container transport by road over more than 100 km shifts

2,8% reduction of total CO2-emissions of container transport on corridors East and South in 2030

TNO (2017)

Several corridors in Netherlands, specific attention for the freight railway ‘Betuweroute’

GHG-emissions (CO2)

From road to rail

Whole Netherlands: in areas with ‘overlap’ between road and rail: 20% (of transported weight) for containers, 30% for break bulk. 2,8 mln ton can shift to ‘Betuweroute’

Whole Netherlands 2014: decrease CO2 emissions is equal to 10% of emissions of road transport breakbulk + containers

Nocera et al. (2018)

Italy, Brenner corridor (both directions)

Air pollutant emissions

GHG emission (CO2)

Noise

Congestion

Traffic accidents

From road to rail

0–30 mln ton per year. Ingrowth 2015–2035

€262 mln total in period 2015–2035

Vierth et al. (2019)

From Stockholm to Hamburg (one direction)

Air pollutant emissions

GHG-emissions (CO2)

Noise

Capacity restrictions

Traffic accidents

Water pollution

From rail _ short-sea to short-sea only

120.000 TEU per year

-€1,7 mln per year, 2010

Boehm et al. (2021)

Corridor Madrid-Vienna (both directions)

GHG-emissions (CO2)

From road to rail

42% of transported weight from road to high speed rail in 2030

79% decrease of CO2 emissions/costs

Janic en Vleugel (2012)

Trans-European corridor Netherlands—Greece/Turkey (both directions)

GHG-emissions (CO2)

Noise

Congestion

Traffic accidents

From road to rail

1559 trucks per week shift to 63 trains per week

30% decrease of external costs

Pinchasik et al. (2020)

Norway, Sweden, Denmark

GHG-emissions (CO2)

Air pollutant emissions

Road, rail, sea

Change in transport volume and transport performance compared to reference 2030, depending on (mix of) policy measures taken:

Road: [− 0,2%, 0,5%] tons, [− 8,3%, − 0,3%]

tonkm

Rail: [− 0,1%, 12,2%] tons, [− 0,4%, 47,4%] tonkm

Sea: [− 0,8%, 0,2%] tons, [− 0,4%, 0,3%] tonkm

Change in emissions compared to reference depending on (mix of) policy measures:

CO2, eq: [− 3,6%, 0,1%]

NOx: [− 1,1%, 0,3%]

PM: [− 0,9%, 0,4%]